For the Night of 31 March 2010
Navy chief Admiral Kim Sung Chan said the ship's munitions
storage room did not appear to have exploded and the ship was "broken in
two because of powerful outside pressure or an exterior explosion." Dong-A
Ilbo newspaper said
Kim Chong-il heading
Another senior official stated that
When Kim travels, which is seldom, he moves by special armored train, never flies. Chinese and North Korean authorities always impose tight security all along the right of way over which the Dear Leaderís train will travel. These precautions disrupt local normality and are always detectable.
The extent of local economic, transportation and individual movement restrictions plus other forms of disruption is a reliable indicator that a leadership train carrying the Dear Leader is en route soon. †Local disruption is minimal when only a decoy train is en route.
†If Kim goes to
†India-China:† The Annual Report
for 2009-10 of the Indian Ministry of Home Affairs said construction of 27 road
links totaling 804 kilometers will be built along the India-China border, Zee
News reported 31 March. The construction will address poor connectivity
that has hampered the operational capability of border guard forces deployed in
Pakistan:† Dawn News
reported that the elders of the Mehsud tribe of
The elders rejected the governmentís demands and refused to agree on repatriation of displaced tribesmen and handing over militants to the authorities.
Internal politics.† The Daily Times reported that all members of the parliamentís constitutional reforms committee have signed the draft of the 18th Amendment after reaching a consensus on 31 March.† The new Amendment will return the political system to parliamentary normality with the Prime Minister as the head of government and chief executive.† The signing ceremony took place at the committee room in Parliament. †
One of the sticking points last week was the renaming of
Northwest Frontier Province (NWFP). The members of the constitutional reform
committee agreed that NWFP is to be renamed
At the Supreme Court today. The Supreme Court today demanded the National Accountability Bureau take measures to secure the return of millions of dollars plundered by Pakistani leaders and bureaucrats; take action against former Attorney General Malik Qayyum and increase the number of anti-graft courts so as to resolve cases speedily.
Malik Qayyum was Attorney General
under Musharraf until Musharraf resigned in August 2008. He led the
governmentís case to dismiss Chief Justice Chaudhry in 2007 and the other
Justices who declared the National Reconciliation Order unconstitutional.
The Chairman of the National Accountability Bureau, Naveed Ahsan apparently gave a more satisfactory progress report today. According to The News, he told the seven-judge panel today that the Law Secretary has been contacted for an official opinion on charges against Malik Qayyum and the measures for executing the Supreme Courtís orders are ďafoot.Ē Naveed said that 158 cases have been revived pursuant to the Courtís ruling on the National Reconciliation Ordinance. †In ten cases, the original jail sentences have been restored.
He also briefed the Court that the Bureau has set in motion
the action for re-opening the Swiss cases against President Zardari and letters
have been written to Swiss officials and the Attorney of Geneva, Geo
News reported.† Swiss authorities
told the press they have yet to receive any letters from
In response to a query by Justice Khalilur Rehman Ramday
regarding cases in
The Court adjourned the hearing until tomorrow, 1 April.† It informed the National Accountability Bureauís Chairman that he need not come to the Court tomorrow, but the Court might call him if needed.
†Former Attorney General Malik Qayum fled
Recap:† The Additional Deputy Director of the Federal Investigation Agency is in jail. The former Attorney General is in self-imposed exile.† Ten other officials not identified face jail terms and 158 cases of waived sentences have been revived. More to follow.
With research and analysis of January and February data
nearly complete, the answer is the Pakistani crackdown seems to have
contributed to a clear, but delayed drop in clashes after the arrest of Berader
on 8 February in
In early January combat was lackluster, typical of mid-winter, with about 5 or 6 significant clashes involving loss of life or property damage reported by the press a day. On 13 and 14 January, the daily number doubled and continued to rise to three times the early January rate and stabilized at that level in February.
In the week after Baradarís arrest, the daily number of clashes dipped for a about a week, but returned to late January levels until 22 February. On that date and until the end of the month, the daily number of clashes returned to the early January level. By the end of the month they had not recovered to the early February level.
The late February dip is striking because it includes the
fighting related to Operation Moshtarak in Marja/Nad e Ali,
Weather was a factor in mountainous provinces in the center
and along the border with
Sampling is always a problem. Press coverage of clashes is a fraction of the total level of violence, but has been reliable for trend analysis in NightWatch Special Assessments for four years. It seems to be so still. The daily numbers only have significance relative to each other in assessing the direction of the trend.
The data in the NightWatch sample
Al-Maliki was not mentioned by his State of
Note: †Although the language is ambiguous, most
observers interpret the State of
The Chechens also have promised more attacks, like that in
Ossetia-Abkhazia: For the record.† RIA Novosti reported the Russian
Federation Council on 31 March ratified pacts between
Kosovo:† Tonightís good news.† US military forces in Kosovo performed
their last duty patrol, after ten years, along the border with the
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End of NightWatch for 31 March.